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# U.S. Stocks Face Pressure as Fed Rate-Hike Expectations Build. Here Are ETFs Investors Can Accumulate
- URL: https://us.mikirduit.com/u-s-stocks-face-pressure-as-fed-rate-hike-expectations-build-here-are-etfs-investors-can-accumulate/
- Published: 2026-09-11T07:53:27.000Z
- Updated: 2026-09-13T09:06:44.000Z
- Description: Fed rate-hike expectations are pressuring U.S. stocks, but the pullback may create opportunities to gradually accumulate Nasdaq-100, S&P 500 and broad-market ETFs.
- Author: Surya Rianto
- Tags: Index & ETF Watch, Markets

**Mikirduit —** U.S. producer prices rose 5.4%, slightly above expectations for a 5.3% increase, adding to expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates again next week. The question for investors is what to do next.

### 3 Key Takeaways

- Fed rate-hike expectations are rising after hotter-than-expected producer-price data, increasing short-term pressure on U.S. stocks, particularly technology and AI-related names.
- Investors looking to buy into market weakness can consider broad index ETFs, with QQQM offering low-cost Nasdaq-100 exposure and VOO or IVV among the cheapest S&P 500 options.
- For long-term investors, a dollar-cost-averaging strategy may be suitable because broad-market ETFs automatically adjust as market leadership shifts between companies and sectors.

One of the market’s biggest concerns is the possibility that the Fed will raise its benchmark rate by 25 basis points, bringing the target range to 3.75% to 4.00%.

CME FedWatch data showed the probability of a rate increase climbing to roughly 69%. After the U.S. producer-price report was released on Sept. 10, 2026, the implied probability briefly moved above 70%.

The biggest concern surrounding another Fed hike is its potential impact on the fast-growing artificial-intelligence sector.

AI expansion has required enormous amounts of capital, and some companies across the ecosystem are relying heavily on leverage. Higher interest rates could therefore become an increasingly important risk for companies spending aggressively on hyperscale data centers, AI infrastructure and related services, particularly when those investments are financed with debt.

That concern was reflected in the market on Sept. 10, when the Nasdaq-100 fell 1.08%, compared with a 0.58% decline in the S&P 500.

For long-term investors, however, the weakness could also create an opportunity to gradually build positions in exchange-traded funds tied to major U.S. stock indexes.

Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 could face further corrections, potentially creating more attractive entry points for investors using a staged buying strategy.

Several major catalysts are set to arrive over the next week:

- **Sept. 11, 2026: U.S. inflation data.** If inflation comes in at 3.4% or below, stocks could respond positively. A reading above 3.4%, however, could increase the risk of further selling.
- **Sept. 15-16, 2026: Federal Open Market Committee meeting.** If the Fed raises rates by 25 basis points, U.S. stocks could face additional short-term pressure.
- **Sept. 17-18, 2026: Bank of Japan policy meeting.** A rate increase in Japan could revive concerns about another wave of asset liquidation tied to yen-funded carry trades. That could pressure global equities if investors unwind positions financed with cheap yen borrowing.

So which U.S. equity ETFs may be worth watching?

## ETFs Tracking the Nasdaq-100

The Nasdaq-100 is made up of 100 of the largest nonfinancial companies listed on the Nasdaq.

As of Sept. 10, 2026, its 20 largest stocks included **Nvidia, Apple, Alphabet Class A, Alphabet Class C, Microsoft, Amazon, Broadcom, Meta Platforms, Tesla, Micron Technology, Walmart, Advanced Micro Devices, ASML, Intel, Cisco Systems, Costco Wholesale, Palantir Technologies, Lam Research, Applied Materials and Netflix**.

By design, the Nasdaq-100 tends to be more volatile than the S&P 500 because of its heavier exposure to technology and growth stocks.

| Nama ETF                                     | Simbol   | Penerbit      | Tanggal Awal    | Rasio Biaya |
| -------------------------------------------- | -------- | ------------- | --------------- | ----------- |
| Invesco QQQ Trust                            | **QQQ**  | Invesco       | 10 Maret 1999   | **0,20%**   |
| ETF Invesco NASDAQ 100                       | **QQQM** | Invesco       | 13 Oktober 2020 | **0,15%**   |
| ProShares UltraPro QQQ                       | **TQQQ** | ProShares     | 9 Februari 2010 | **0,95%**   |
| ProShares Ultra QQQ                          | **QLD**  | ProShares     | 21 Juni 2006    | **0,95%**   |
| ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ                 | **SQQQ** | ProShares     | 9 Februari 2010 | **0,95%**   |
| ProShares Short QQQ                          | **PSQ**  | ProShares     | 21 Juni 2006    | **0,95%**   |
| ProShares UltraShort QQQ                     | **QID**  | ProShares     | 21 Juni 2006    | **0,95%**   |
| ETF Innovator Growth-100 Power Buffer – Juni | **NJUN** | ETF Innovator | 7 Februari 2023 | **0,79%**   |

There are several ETFs providing exposure to the Nasdaq-100\. Among the eight products reviewed, the **Invesco Nasdaq-100 ETF (QQQM)** has the lowest expense ratio, at **0.15%**.

That makes QQQM one of the more cost-efficient options for investors seeking long-term exposure to the index.

## ETFs Tracking the S&P 500

The S&P 500 is an index maintained by S&P Dow Jones Indices and tracks roughly 500 of the largest publicly traded companies in the U.S.

Its 20 largest constituents include **Nvidia, Apple, Alphabet Class A, Alphabet Class C, Microsoft, Amazon, Broadcom, Meta Platforms, Tesla, Micron Technology, Berkshire Hathaway Class B, Eli Lilly, JPMorgan Chase, Walmart, Advanced Micro Devices, Visa, Exxon Mobil, Johnson & Johnson, Intel and Mastercard**.

At first glance, the S&P 500 looks similar to the Nasdaq-100 because both indexes are dominated by many of the same megacap companies.

But there are important differences.

The S&P 500 includes major financial names such as **Berkshire Hathaway, Visa, JPMorgan and Mastercard**, as well as healthcare and energy companies including **Eli Lilly, Johnson & Johnson and Exxon Mobil**.

That gives the S&P 500 broader sector diversification than the Nasdaq-100.

Major U.S.-listed ETFs tracking the S&P 500 include the **Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO)**, **iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV)** and **SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)**.

From a cost perspective, VOO and IVV are the cheapest, with expense ratios of just **0.03%**. SPY is more expensive at **0.09%**.

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## ETFs Offering Broader U.S. Market Exposure

Beyond the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100, investors can also gain exposure to the broader U.S. equity market through ETFs tracking other indexes.

### SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust (DIA)

DIA tracks the Dow Jones Industrial Average, an index of 30 large, established U.S. companies.

Its 10 largest holdings include **Goldman Sachs, Caterpillar, Microsoft, Amazon, UnitedHealth Group, Visa, Travelers, JPMorgan, Alphabet and Sherwin-Williams**.

One important difference is what the Dow leaves out. The index doesn’t include several stocks that have led the latest technology and AI boom, including **Nvidia, Broadcom and Micron**.

DIA has an expense ratio of **0.16%** and a dividend yield of roughly **1.38%**.

Over the past year, DIA has returned about **14.22%**, while its five-year gain is roughly **50.2%**.

Those returns trail broad-market products such as SCHB and VTI, as well as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100.

Part of the reason is the Dow’s unusual construction and relatively narrow portfolio. Because the index excludes several newer megacap market leaders such as Nvidia, it has captured less of the rally driven by AI-related stocks.

### Schwab U.S. Broad Market ETF (SCHB)

SCHB tracks the Dow Jones U.S. Broad Stock Market Index.

Unlike the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which contains only 30 stocks, the index underlying SCHB includes roughly **2,500 U.S. companies**.

The index is weighted by free-float-adjusted market capitalization.

Its 10 largest holdings include **Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet Class A, Broadcom, Alphabet Class C, Meta Platforms, Micron and Tesla**.

Because its largest positions resemble those of the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100, its historical returns have also been relatively similar.

SCHB has gained around **15.99% over the past year** and approximately **62.6% over five years**.

By comparison, the S&P 500 has risen roughly **16.22% over the past year** and about **70.27% over five years**.

SCHB carries a low expense ratio of **0.03%**, with a recent dividend yield of roughly **1.02%**.

### Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI)

VTI tracks the CRSP U.S. Total Market Index, which is designed to measure the performance of nearly the entire investable U.S. equity market.

The index includes roughly **4,000 stocks**, spanning large-, mid- and small-cap companies.

Its 10 largest holdings include **Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet Class A, Broadcom, Alphabet Class C, Meta Platforms, Eli Lilly and JPMorgan**.

Its portfolio composition therefore looks more like the S&P 500 than the Nasdaq-100.

Like SCHB, VTI’s historical returns have closely tracked the broader U.S. market. It has gained around **15.99% over the past year** and roughly **62.2% over five years**.

VTI also carries a low expense ratio of **0.03%**, with a dividend yield of around **1.03%**.

## How Investors Can Approach Broad U.S. Equity ETFs

One way to build exposure to broad U.S. equity ETFs is through **dollar-cost averaging**, investing the same amount of money at regular monthly intervals.

Investors can also become more selective about timing. Under a stricter approach, they could wait for the underlying index to fall more than 1% over the previous week before making the next scheduled purchase.

Broad index ETFs are well suited to a recurring investment strategy because their long-term performance doesn’t depend on a single company.

If one market leader declines or loses relevance, another company can eventually replace it in the index. And when a new sector begins to dominate the market, index composition and weightings adjust over time, allowing ETF investors to gain exposure to the new leaders without having to identify them in advance.

For investors seeking long-term U.S. equity exposure, we continue to prefer the two mainstream benchmarks: the **S&P 500** and **Nasdaq-100**.

The main difference comes down to volatility.

The S&P 500 offers broader diversification across sectors, while the Nasdaq-100 has heavier exposure to technology and growth companies—and therefore has the potential for larger swings in both directions.

## **The numbers are only the beginning.**

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